I’m reading a couple of books at the moment on transitioning from growth to no-growth economies; something that is being forced upon us because we have reached – and passed – the Earth’s natural carrying capacity; we are now (and have been since the mid-80′s) rapidly consuming the planet’s capital. This should be blindingly obvious to us all, yet we all seem to have a vested interest in denial of the facts.
The other day I watched a brief excerpt on the news of an American politician who was giving a speech in support of one of the Republican candidates hoping to run for the Big Job. This guy (I can’t remember who it was and it’s not important) was talking about how the US had no limits to what it can do; they just had to work harder to re-create the American Dream. This from a country with 5% of the world’s population, which consumes 25% of the world’s oil and 30% of the world’s resources. In other words, unnamed others had to continue to give up their portion of the worlds resources to sate his lifestyle. Americans may not wish to see it like this and they are not the only ones, we Brits also consume more than our fair share, if not on quite such a breathtaking scale.
That we are now all living in a world of constraint should be obvious by the state of the global economy. We will never return to a time of unrestrained growth, although there may be periods of it, in certain places, but it is no longer a right that we can expect. The implications of this are sobering, and I suspect why everyone would rather not face it. But like the recent Costa Concordia ocean cruise ship disaster, the “captains” of our planet have willfully gone off course in pursuit of needless goals that are not prudent. The results are as inevitable as they are going to be painful.
Running out of resources is not a hard concept to get your head around (whether you consider your glass half-full or half-empty, it WILL be empty at some point), so where did economists get the STUPID idea that we can fuel growth indefinitely in a finite world? If you told that to your bank manager with regards your own way of running your life, he would laugh in your face (before raising his charges), yet that is what they themselves, and every government, do.
Technology will not, cannot save us; get that out of your head. There is nothing that can ever replace or even come close to replicating a billion years of condensed sunlight. What we should be doing now is using the twilight of our fossil fuel era to build resilience and systems that will keep essentials going while we contract to fit our low-energy future. If we plan it, we can perhaps control it… a bit. Perhaps.
What you can do, and I can do, is build up your own personal resilience, skills and resources. Use less energy, grow food, consume less. Changing your mindset is though, the most important – and difficult – step. I’m accused sometimes of being gloomy, but I’m not. I’m just awake to the reality, and if really doesn’t suit what you and I actually want it to be, whose problem is that?
As that rather horrible phrase goes, wake up and smell the coffee…